2026-05-13T01:18:04Z https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/oai

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/1 2022-12-30T10:49:53Z bilp:ART

PENGARUH NON-TARIFF MEASURES TERHADAP EKSPOR INDONESIA KE BEBERAPA NEGARA UNI EROPA Gunawiredja, Dwika Arga Technical Barrier to Trade Sanitary and Phytosanitary Ekspor Keberhasilan GATT/WTO dalam meliberalisasi perdagangan internasional membuat pengenaan tarif menurun signifikan. Proteksi tarif perlahan ditinggalkan dan saat bersamaan digantikan oleh penggunaan non-tarif (Non-Tariff Measures/NTM) khususnya Technical Barrier to Trade (TBT) dan Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) oleh negara-negara maju seperti Jerman, Perancis, Inggris, dan Italia. Dengan menggunakan pendekatan gravitasi dan inventoris dengan coverage ratio, serta menggunakan variabel lag dan lead, penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis (i) dampak sebelum dan sesudah NTM ditetapkan oleh keempat negara EU tersebut terhadap ekspor Indonesia dan (ii) melihat waktu yang diperlukan eksportir untuk memenuhi standarisasi yang ditetapkan. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa secara signifikan Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) negara importir berpengaruh positif, sedangkan jarak berpengaruh negatif terhadap ekspor Indonesia. TBT berpengaruh positif di tahun yang sama saat TBT dilayangkan. SPS berpengaruh negatif satu tahun setelah SPS dilayangkan, sedangkan dua tahun setelahnya berpengaruh positif. Eksportir memerlukan waktu hingga dua tahun untuk memenuhi standarisasi SPS yang ditetapkan sehingga ekspor kembali meningkat. Lamanya waktu yang diperlukan menunjukkan kemungkinan teknologi milik produsen untuk mencapai standar yang kurang efektif. Oleh karenanya disarankan agar pemerintah membantu produsen dalam pengembangan teknologi yang diperlukan untuk komoditas yang potensial untuk diekspor dan pembelaan bila ada perlakuan yang tidak adil terkait dengan standar NTM yang diterapkan. National Research and Innovation Agency 2022-12-30 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/1 10.55981/bilp.2022.1 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 16 No. 2 (2022): BILP 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v16i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/1/19 Copyright (c) 2022 Dwika Arga Gunawiredja https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/3 2022-12-30T10:49:53Z bilp:ART

DAMPAK PANDEMI COVID-19 TERHADAP IMPOR PROVINSI ACEH BERDASARKAN HASIL CLUSTERING NEGARA ASAL IMPOR Zakia, Ulva Anwar, Samsul Ulya, Ina Yatul Covid-19 K-means Clustering Negara Asal Impor Provinsi Aceh Nilai Impor Abstrak Pandemi Covid-19 berdampak besar terhadap sektor perekonomian nasional termasuk Provinsi Aceh. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengelompokkan negara-negara asal barang impor yang masuk ke Provinsi Aceh tahun 2019 dan 2020 dengan mengkaji pengaruh pandemi terhadap realisasi nilai impor Provinsi Aceh. Penelitian menggunakan data sekunder berupa nilai impor Provinsi Aceh yang diperoleh dari Dinas Perindustrian dan Perdagangan. Pengelompokkan dilakukan dengan metode K-means clustering dengan 3 cluster yaitu tinggi, sedang dan rendah. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dari 22 negara yang dianalisis, realisasi nilai impor Provinsi Aceh sebelum pandemi sangat didominasi oleh 4 negara yaitu Malaysia, Singapura, Thailand dan dan Republik Rakyat Tiongkok (RRT). Nilai impor Provinsi Aceh pada masa pandemi justru mengalami peningkatan yang signifikan. Namun demikian, jumlah negara pemasok dengan nilai ekspor yang rendah ke Provinsi Aceh pada masa pandemi semakin bertambah karena adanya kebijakan pembatasan kegiatan sosial di masing-masing negara. Pemerintah Aceh perlu memberikan perhatian khusus bagi kelompok negara dengan nilai ekspor rendah, terutama negara di kawasan Asia Tenggara untuk menjaga hubungan perdagangan internasional. National Research and Innovation Agency 2022-12-30 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/3 10.55981/bilp.2022.3 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 16 No. 2 (2022): BILP 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v16i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/3/31 Copyright (c) 2022 Ulva Zakia, Samsul Anwar, Ina Yatul Ulya https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/5 2022-12-30T10:49:53Z bilp:ART

TREN PRODUKSI DAN PERDAGANGAN NEGARA-NEGARA PRODUSEN KOPI TERBESAR DI DUNIA DAN IMPLIKASINYA BAGI INDONESIA Ibnu, Muhammad Rosanti, Novi Indonesia Kopi Tren Produksi dan Perdagangan Produsen Kopi Dunia Sistem produksi dan perdagangan kopi di dunia telah berubah dalam dua dekade terakhir. Namun, jarang studi yang mengaitkan perubahan tersebut secara langsung dengan tren produksi dan perdagangan negara-negara penghasil kopi. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk (1) memprediksi tren produksi dan perdagangan di sepuluh negara produsen kopi terbesar di dunia, dan (2) mengidentifikasi jalan (pathway) yang berpotensi meningkatkan keberlanjutan (sustainability) produksi dan perdagangan kopi Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan data time series FAOSTAT (1993 - 2020) yang diproyeksikan 10 tahun (sampai 2030) dengan metode double exponential smoothing. Penelitian ini memprediksi bahwa produksi dan perdagangan kopi dunia akan semakin dinamis. Beberapa negara (seperti Guatemala, Brazil, dan Ethiopia) diprediksi akan memperluas areal kopinya dengan tingkat pertumbuhan yang cukup signifikan, sementara negara lain (seperti Vietnam dan Kolombia) diprediksi akan mengejar pertumbuhan yang tinggi dalam hal nilai ekspor biji kopi olahannya. Selain itu, beberapa negara (seperti Meksiko, Peru, dan Indonesia) diprediksi akan lebih fokus pada konsumsi domestik dalam negerinya. Dinamika tersebut memiliki implikasi pada produksi dan perdagangan kopi Indonesia. Namun, Indonesia secara makro memiliki modal institusional yang relatif baik, yaitu lingkungan pendukung untuk investasi (misalnya dalam hal ukuran pasar, ketersediaan infrastruktur, dan keterbukaan perdagangan) yang berpotensi mendukung keberlanjutan produksi dan perdagangan kopinya. National Research and Innovation Agency 2022-12-30 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/5 10.55981/bilp.2022.5 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 16 No. 2 (2022): BILP 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v16i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/5/22 Copyright (c) 2022 Muhammad Ibnu https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/6 2022-12-30T10:49:53Z bilp:ART

KOMPARASI DAYA SAING MINYAK SAWIT INDONESIA DENGAN MALAYSIA DI PASAR PAKISTAN DAN KAWASAN SEKITAR DAN DETERMINAN EKSPORNYA Firdaus, Muhammad Irawan, Toni Widyastutik Salam, Fahmi A Pakistan Minyak Sawit Data Panel Spasial RCA Pakistan dan kawasan sekitarnya yang memiliki potensi pasar yang besar, mendorong Indonesia untuk meningkatkan ekspornya ke negara tersebut. Indonesia dan Pakistan telah meratifikasi perluasan PTA di tahun 2018. Tujuan studi ini adalah untuk membandingkan kinerja ekspor minyak sawit Indonesia dan Malaysia, serta mengidentifikasi determinan ekspor minyak sawit ke Pakistan dan pasar sekitar. Model panel spasial digunakan untuk memperoleh faktor yang berpengaruh. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa Indonesia mempunyai keunggulan komparatif dalam produk turunan minyak sawit seperti RPO dibandingkan Malaysia. Faktor ekonomi yaitu GDP merupakan determinan terpenting dalam mendorong ekspor. Untuk mempertahankan nilai ekspor minyak sawit ke Pakistan, Indonesia perlu mempertimbangkan investasi pada industri pengolahan CPO di Pakistan.   National Research and Innovation Agency 2022-12-30 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/6 10.55981/bilp.2022.6 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 16 No. 2 (2022): BILP 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v16i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/6/20 Copyright (c) 2022 Muhammad Firdaus, Toni Irawan, Widyastutik https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/8 2023-08-01T10:18:03Z bilp:ART

PENGARUH PERJANJIAN PERDAGANGAN INTERNASIONAL TERHADAP KINERJA PERDAGANGAN INDONESIA Anggraini, Ulfa Muchtar, Masruri Sihombing, Pardomuan Robinson Ekspor Impor Nilai Tukar Perjanjian Perdagangan Salah satu instrumen yang saat ini banyak diyakini dapat meningkatkan ekspor adalah melalui Free Trade Agreement (FTA). Selain FTA, faktor lain yang dianggap dapat mempengaruhi ekspor suatu negara meliputi nilai tukar riil dan Gross Domestic Product (GDP) dari negara tujuan ekspor. Berdasarkan hal tersebut, maka penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh FTA, nilai tukar riil dan GDP dari negara tujuan ekspor terhadap kinerja ekspor Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan data cross section yang terdiri atas 74 negara tujuan ekspor dengan periode tahun 2020. Penelitian ini dianalisis dengan regresi linear berganda dengan menggunakan STATA 17. Berdasarkan hasil analisis regresi, dapat diketahui bahwa FTA, nilai tukar efektif riil, dan GDP dari negara tujuan ekspor berpengaruh signifikan positif terhadap nilai ekspor Indonesia dengan nilai koefisien kemiringan masing-masing secara berurutan yaitu sebesar 1,446 untuk variabel dummy FTA, sebesar 1,585 untuk variabel REER, dan sebesar 0,9179 untuk GDP. Penelitian ini menemukan bahwa ekspor dari Indonesia kepada negara yang memiliki FTA adalah 324,58 persen lebih besar dibandingkan dengan negara yang tidak memiliki FTA. Selain itu, penelitian ini juga mengukur pengaruh FTA terhadap impor. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa adanya FTA/PTA/CEPA membuat impor Indonesia dari negara-negara tersebut juga meningkat sebesar 301,53 persen dibandingkan apabila tidak adanya FTA/PTA/CEPA. Namun apabila dibandingkan dengan kenaikan ekspor sebagai akibat perjanjian perdagangan internasional, maka dapat diketahui bahwa persentase kenaikan ekspor masih lebih tinggi sebesar 23,05 persen. Artinya, dampak FTA terhadap kenaikan ekspor Indonesia lebih besar dibandingkan kenaikan impornya. Hal ini berimplikasi pada perlunya optimalisasi atau bahkan penambahan perjanjian lain semacam FTA ini apabila Indonesia ingin meningkatkan kinerja ekspornya. National Research and Innovation Agency 2023-07-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/8 10.55981/bilp.2023.8 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 17 No. 1 (2023): BILP 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v17i1 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/8/556 Copyright (c) 2023 Ulfa Anggraini, Masruri Muchtar, Pardomuan Robinson Sihombing https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/9 2023-08-01T10:18:03Z bilp:ART

PENGARUH KEBIJAKAN NON-TARIFF MEASURES (NTMs) TERHADAP EKSPOR PULP DAN KERTAS INDONESIA Nasution, Rissa Hurulaini Ramadhani Non-Tariff Measures (NTMs) Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) Trade Barriers to Trade (TBT) Ekspor kertas Pulp   Non-Tariff Measures (NTMs) banyak dikenakan oleh negara tujuan utama ekspor. Kebijakan NTMs sebagian besar diterapkan dalam bentuk Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) dan Technical Barrier to Trade (TBT). Komoditas Pulp dan Kertas merupakan potensi ekspor Indonesia yang menghadapi kebijakan NTMs dari negara tujuan utama. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengevaluasi pengaruh NTMs terhadap ekspor pulp dan kertas Indonesia di negara tujuan utama. NTMs diproksikan menggunakan variabel coverage ratio SPS dan coverage ratio TBT. Pengaruh NTMs terhadap ekspor pulp dan kertas Indonesia diestimasi dengan model gravitasi data panel yang berasal dari data perdagangan ekspor pulp dan kertas bilateral antara Indonesia dengan mitra dagang utamanya pada periode 2005-2019. Model gravitasi diestimasi dengan model fixed effects, Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood, dan Hausman Taylor. Hasilnya menunjukkan bahwa kebijakan TBT dan SPS negara tujuan memberikan pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap ekspor pulp Indonesia. Tetapi kebijakan SPS dan TBT negara tujuan memberikan pengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap ekspor kertas Indonesia. National Research and Innovation Agency 2023-07-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/9 10.55981/bilp.2023.9 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 17 No. 1 (2023): BILP 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v17i1 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/9/557 Copyright (c) 2023 Rissa Hurulaini Ramadhani Nasution https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/10 2023-08-01T10:18:03Z bilp:ART

KONTRAKSI EKSPOR IMPOR SELAMA PANDEMI COVID-19 DI INDONESIA (STUDI KASUS DATA PANEL 34 PROVINSI) Robbi, Ilham Farida, Lia. U. Ekspor-Impor Covid-19 PPKM Mobilitas Panel Dinamis Sejak ditetapkan sebagai pandemi global oleh WHO, COVID-19 membawa dampak terhadap perekonomian dunia. Berubahnya pola perdagangan dunia akibat penyebaran kasus, kematian dan lockdown membuat terjadinya kontraksi ekspor dan impor selama tahun awal pandemi. Indonesia sebagai negara yang menganut keterbukaan perdagangan juga terdampak. Penelitian ini melihat aktivitas ekspor impor selama pandemi dengan menggunakan metode panel dinamis. Dengan data panel 34 provinsi Indonesia tahun 2019-2021 hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa terjadi kontraksi ekspor dan impor Indonesia yang diakibatkan adanya pandemi COVID-19 namun hanya bersifat sementara. Provinsi yang mengalami pertumbuhan ekspor impor positif di awal tahun pandemi masuk kategori level PPKM 1 (rendah) dan 2 (sedang). Adanya pandemi COVID-19 membawa perubahan dalam kegiatan ekonomi yaitu terjadinya transformasi ekonomi menjadi ekonomi digital. Kajian ini merekomendasikan bagi pemerintah untuk segera menetapkan status pandemi menjadi endemi untuk memaksimalkan perputaran ekonomi seperti sebelum pandemi terjadi. National Research and Innovation Agency 2023-07-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/10 10.55981/bilp.2023.10 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 17 No. 1 (2023): BILP 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v17i1 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/10/559 Copyright (c) 2023 Ilham Robbi, Lia. U. Farida https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/11 2022-12-30T10:49:53Z bilp:ART

DAMPAK COVID-19 TERHADAP KINERJA EKSPOR DAN IMPOR SEKTOR PERTANIAN INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN ANALISIS INPUT OUTPUT Siska Diana Lomban Sahara Zulva Azijah Covid-19 Ekspor imports Input-Output Pertanian Sektor pertanian berperan penting dalam pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia terutama di era pandemi Covid-19 dimana banyak sektor lain yang mengalami kontraksi akibat Covid-19, namun sektor pertanian justru mampu tumbuh positif dengan kontribusi ekspor yang cukup tinggi. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis kinerja ekspor sektor pertanian pada masa pandemi Covid-19 dan dampaknya terhadap output, pendapatan, dan tenaga kerja, serta pengganda impor sektor pertanian. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah analisis input-output dengan menggunakan data sekunder Tabel Input-Output Indonesia terbaru tahun 2016 dan perubahan ekspor komoditas sektor pertanian tahun 2020. Hasil analisis menunjukkan kinerja ekspor sektor pertanian terhadap output, pendapatan, dan tenaga kerja berdampak positif paling besar pada kelapa sawit, kelapa, serta unggas dan hasil-hasilnya. Sedangkan, komoditas sektor pertanian yang memiliki nilai pengganda impor terbesar adalah hasil pemeliharaan hewan lainnya serta rumput laut dan sejenisnya. Untuk itu agar mencapai pertumbuhan ekonomi yang tinggi, sektor kelapa sawit, kelapa, serta unggas dan hasil-hasilnya paling berpotensi untuk dikembangkan. National Research and Innovation Agency 2022-12-30 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/11 10.55981/bilp.2022.11 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 16 No. 2 (2022): BILP 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v16i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/11/30 Copyright (c) 2022 Siska Diana Lomban, Sahara, Zulva Azijah https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/12 2023-08-01T10:18:03Z bilp:ART

PENGARUH HAMBATAN TARIF DAN SPS PADA PERDAGANGAN PERTANIAN INDONESIA DENGAN NEGARA G-20 Astuti, Endang Pudji Nurmalina, Rita Rifin, Amzul Komoditas Pertanian Anggota G-20 Model Gravity SPS Tarif Pemerintah berupaya meningkatkan kinerja neraca perdagangan internasional Indonesia, salah satunya dari sektor pertanian ke negara anggota G-20. Upaya tersebut tidak mudah karena negara anggota G-20 merupakan pasar yang menarik bagi negara lain. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pemberlakuan kebijakan tarif dan Non Tariff Measures (NTMs) khususnya kebijakan Sanitary dan Phytosanitary (SPS) terhadap komoditas pertanian di negara anggota G-20, mengestimasi model aliran perdagangan, dan menganalisis pengaruh kebijakan tarif dan SPS pada aliran perdagangan pertanian antara Indonesia dan negara anggota G-20. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data sekunder berupa data panel yang terdiri dari 18 negara anggota G-20 selama 20 tahun yang dianalisis menggunakan model gravity. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa variabel GDP Indonesia, GDP negara mitra, populasi negara mitra, tarif impor Indonesia dan SPS Indonesia menjadi faktor yang berpengaruh secara signifikan. Organisasi G-20 dapat mendiskusikan dan mempertimbangkan kebijakan penurunan tarif impor dan menerapkan aturan penerapan SPS yang adil bagi seluruh anggota G-20, sehingga tidak hanya melindungi keamanan dan kesehatan, namun juga dapat meningkatkan perdagangan antar negara anggota. National Research and Innovation Agency 2023-07-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/12 10.55981/bilp.2023.12 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 17 No. 1 (2023): BILP 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v17i1 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/12/558 Copyright (c) 2023 endang pudji astuti, Rita Nurmalina, Amzul Rifin https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/15 2023-08-01T10:18:03Z bilp:ART

PENGARUH TINGKAT KEMUDAHAN BERUSAHA TERHADAP KINERJA EKSPOR DAN IMPOR INDONESIA Abimanyu, Niken Larasati Tobing, Christina Ruth Elisabeth L. Kemudahan Berusaha ekspor impor Model Efek Acak Penelitian ini membahas mengenai dampak tingkat kemudahan berusaha terhadap kinerja ekspor dan impor Indonesia pada periode tahun 2015 hingga 2020. Variabel dependen pada penelitian ini adalah nilai ekspor dan nilai impor Indonesia terhadap 116 negara trading partner. Metode yang digunakan adalah regresi data panel statis menggunakan random effect model. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa tingkat kemudahan berusaha Indonesia berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap kinerja ekspor dan impor. Indikator starting a business dan trading across borders tidak berdampak terhadap ekspor dan impor. Namun measurement pada indikator trading across borders yang mengukur proses logistik kegiatan ekspor berpengaruh positif terhadap ekspor dan measurement yang mengukur proses logistik kegiatan impor berpengaruh positif terhadap impor. Perbaikan tingkat kemudahan berusaha diperlukan untuk mengurangi waktu dan biaya yang menjadi penyebab tingginya trade cost pada proses logistik kegiatan ekspor dan impor. National Research and Innovation Agency 2023-07-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/15 10.55981/bilp.2023.15 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 17 No. 1 (2023): BILP 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v17i1 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/15/560 Copyright (c) 2023 Niken Larasati Abimanyu, Christina Ruth Elisabeth L. Tobing https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/26 2023-08-01T10:18:03Z bilp:ART

ANALISIS REVEALED COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE DAN EXPORT PRODUCT DYNAMIC KOMODITAS LADA INDONESIA DAN VIETNAM Budiarti, Winih Anggraeni, Defi Astuti Data Panel Export Product Dynamic Lada Revealed Comparative Advantage Indonesia dan Vietnam merupakan negara produsen dan pengekspor lada terbesar di dunia. Sebagian besar negara tujuan ekspor lada Indonesia dan Vietnam juga sama sehingga menimbulkan persaingan diantara kedua negara. Oleh karena itu, perlu dilakukan analisis perbandingan posisi dan daya saing dari kedua negara tersebut dalam perdagangan lada dunia. Selain itu, perlu dianalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi kinerja ekspor lada dari kedua negara tersebut. Metode yang digunakan adalah Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Export Product Dynamic (EPD), uji beda rata-rata, dan analisis regresi data panel. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa perkembangan volume ekspor lada Indonesia pada tahun 2001 sampai 2017 ke tujuh negara tujuan mengalami fluktuatif sedangkan Vietnam mengalami peningkatan. Hasil dari komparasi daya saing ekspor lada Indonesia dan Vietnam menunjukkan bahwa terdapat perbedaan daya saing komparatif di pasar Amerika Serikat, India, Korea, dan Prancis. Untuk hasil analisis data panel diperoleh PDB perkapita negara tujuan, jumlah penduduk negara tujuan, dan harga ekspor lada berpengaruh signifikan terhadap volume ekspor lada Indonesia. Sedangkan harga ekspor, dan nilai tukar Dong terhadap USD signifikan berpengaruh terhadap volume ekspor lada Vietnam.    National Research and Innovation Agency 2023-07-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/26 10.55981/bilp.2023.26 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 17 No. 1 (2023): BILP 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v17i1 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/26/561 Copyright (c) 2023 Winih Budiarti, Defi Astuti Anggraeni https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/28 2024-08-24T15:22:22Z bilp:ART

Determinan Nilai Ekspor Jasa Transportasi di Negara-Negara ASEAN Subriandi, Askar Oktora, Siskarossa Ika ASEAN exports transportation services panel data regression Transportation services are the most significant contributor to the deficit in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) services trade. From 2016 to 2019, eight out of ten countries in the ASEAN still experienced a trade deficit in transportation services. So that this condition does not drag on in a continuous deficit, one of the policies that each country can carry out is to increase the export performance of transportation services. This study aims to determine the factors that affect the export of transportation services in ASEAN. The secondary data used is trade flow data from 2012 to 2019 from the ASEAN Secretariat and World Bank. The method used is panel data regression with the Random Effect Model (REM). The result found that foreign direct investment, exports of goods, and value-added services significantly affect exports of transportation services in ASEAN. Meanwhile, internet users and exchange rates do not substantially affect exports of transportation services in ASEAN. The results of this study recommend continuing to improve the climate for ease of investment. In addition, it is essential to utilize resources that can increase the production of transportation services and maintain the availability of raw materials and capital goods. National Research and Innovation Agency 2024-07-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/28 10.55981/bilp.2024.28 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 18 No. 1 (2024): BILP; 23-46 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v18i1 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/28/4183 Copyright (c) 2024 Askar Subriandi, Siskarossa Ika Oktora https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/89 2023-12-31T12:33:12Z bilp:ART

Perbandingan Daya Saing Crude Palm Oil Indonesia dengan Malaysia di Negara Tujuan Utama Ekspor: Comparison of the Competitiveness Crude Palm Oil of Indonesia with Malaysia in Main Export Destination Countries Saban, Asrilis Novianti, Tanti Crude Palm Oil Export Comparative Advantage Market Share This study aims to analyze and compare the competitiveness of Indonesian CPO with Malaysia in each of the main export destination countries. This study’s data type is monthly data for the export-import of Crude Palm Oil (CPO) with the code HS-151110. Competitiveness analysis between Indonesia-Malaysia CPO is calculated by RCA and MSI indicators. The development of Indonesia's CPO exports fluctuated from January 2020 to December 2021 with a negative development trend. During the period January 2020 to December 2021, Indonesian CPO has a comparative advantage in the Indian and Spanish markets, while Malaysian CPO has a comparative advantage in Italy and Kenya. Indonesian CPO has a larger market share in India and Spain and Malaysian CPO has a larger market share in Kenya, while in Italy the market share for Indonesian and Malaysian CPO is the same. Indonesia needs to increase CPO production and exports so that Indonesia’s CPO competitiveness and market share can be increased. National Research and Innovation Agency 2023-12-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/89 10.55981/bilp.2023.89 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 17 No. 2 (2023): BILP; 225-246 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v17i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/89/2081 Copyright (c) 2023 Asrilis Saban, Tanti Novianti https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/224 2023-12-31T12:33:11Z bilp:ART

Menavigasi Daya Saing dan Determinan Ekspor Unggulan Indonesia di Kawasan Carribean Community (Caricom): Navigating Products Competitiveness and Determining Indonesia's Leading Exports in the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) Region Hotsawadi Widyastutik CARICOM EPD RCA Panel Data Regression X-Model CARICOM is an area that has trade potential to be explored by Indonesia. However, for Indonesia, this region has various challenges to explore considering that the countries that are members of it are non-traditional countries. For this reason, this study aims to analyze the competitiveness, competitor countries and determinants of exports of Indonesia's superior products to the CARICOM region. The analysis methods used are market share, RCA, EPD, X-Model and panel data regression. The results showed that ten commodities identified as Indonesia's leading products in the CARICOM region faced lost opportunity market positions on average and CARICOM countries were included in the category as potential market developments. The United States, European Union, Brazil, China, South Korea, Japan, Dominica Republic, Colombia and Trinidad and Tobago and Singapore were identified as Indonesia's competitors in CARICOM. In terms of export determinants, real GDP and investment positive and significant effect on the export of Indonesia's superior products to CARICOM. Meanwhile, inflation and the real exchange rate together have a significant and negative effect in contrast to the economic distance which has a negative but insignificant effect on the volume of Indonesia's exports to the CARICOM region. National Research and Innovation Agency 2023-12-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/224 10.55981/bilp.2023.224 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 17 No. 2 (2023): BILP; 203-224 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v17i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/224/2133 Copyright (c) 2023 Hotsawadi, Widyastutik https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/227 2023-12-31T12:33:11Z bilp:ART

Ekspor Teh Hitam Indonesia ke Jepang: Struktur Pasar dan Daya Saing: Indonesian Black Tea Export to Japan: Market Structure and Competitiveness Fikri Aldi Dwi Putro Nia Kurniawati Hidayat Commodity Comparative Advantage Export Expansion Market Concentration Indonesian tea export to international market is dominated by black tea. Japan becomes the black tea export destination with big untapped export potential, but has volatile export value, thus hinders the optimization of black tea export potential to Japan. This study aims to analyze the market structure and competitiveness as well as determine the Indonesian black tea market expansion to Japan. This study employs Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI), Concentration Ratio (CR4), Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA), Export Product Dynamic (EPD), and X-Model Potential Export Products. The results show that the packaged and bulk black tea market structure in Japan is oligopoly. Indonesian bulk black tea gains comparative advantage, whereas Indonesian packaged black tea lacks comparative advantage in Japan market. Besides that, Indonesian bulk black tea has stronger competitive advantage over Indonesian packaged black tea. Furthermore, Indonesian bulk black tea is able to become the focus of export expansion to Japan at the moment. National Research and Innovation Agency 2023-12-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/227 10.55981/bilp.2023.227 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 17 No. 2 (2023): BILP; 177-202 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v17i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/227/2080 Copyright (c) 2023 Fikri Aldi Dwi Putro, Nia Kurniawati Hidayat https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/792 2024-12-31T02:34:43Z bilp:ART

Apakah Global Value Chain (GVC) Memengaruhi Permintaan Tenaga Kerja? Studi Empiris dari Industri Manufaktur Indonesia Tahun 2010–2015 Ramana, Febria Damayanti, Arie Labor Demand Global Value Chain (GVC) Pure Forward Participation Two-Sided Participation Pure Backward Participation Participation in the Global Value Chain (GVC) encourages domestic industry development and increases productivity, expanding labour demand. However, theoretically, a firm’s participation in GVC can increase the labour demand through the scale effect and reduce the labour demand due to the substitution effect. This issue is relevant in Indonesia because the extent of GVC participation among firms in the manufacturing sector is still low. This study examines the correlation of GVC participation in the manufacturing subsector to labour demand. This study uses Asian Development Bank (ADB) calculations that divide manufacturing subsector GVC participation into three types, namely Pure Forward Participation (PFP), Two-Sided Participation (TSP), and Pure Backward Participation (PBP). The data used is panel data from 2010-2015, the Large and Medium Industry Survey conducted by Statistics Indonesia (BPS) and analysed using a linear dynamic model. The analysis found that in the short term, (i) PFP is positively correlated, (ii) TSP tends to be negatively correlated but not significant, and (iii) PBP is positively correlated but not significant. All three types of participation significantly affect labour demand in the long run. Therefore, manufacturing industry linkages in PFP and PBP must be improved to increase labour absorption in the manufacturing sector. National Research and Innovation Agency 2024-12-13 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/792 10.55981/bilp.2024.792 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 18 No. 2 (2024): BILP; 235-258 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v18i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/792/6981 Copyright (c) 2024 Febria Ramana, Arie Damayanti https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/793 2025-06-18T01:21:36Z bilp:ART

Perdagangan Intra Industri Kakao Indonesia dengan Negara Mitra: Intra Industry Trade of Indonesian Cocoa with Partner Countries Andi Tenri Darhyati Novianti, Tanti Intra-Industry Trade Cocoa GDP FDI Intra-industry trade (IIT) is trade in the same product between one country and another. Cocoa is an Indonesian agricultural commodity that tends to carry out intra-industry trade. This research aims to analyze intra-industry trade relations between Indonesian Cocoa and trading partner countries and the factors that influence intra-industry trade in Indonesian Cocoa. This research uses panel data from a period from 2016-2021. The best model chosen was the Random Effect Model (REM). The analysis method used is the Intra Industry Trade Index and Gravity Model. The results of the analysis show that the country that has strong integration in intra-industry trade in cocoa is Indonesia and Malaysia. IIT in Indonesian cocoa with partner countries is still predominantly weakly integrated. The factors that influence intra-Indonesian cocoa industry trade are the average of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita between countries, differences in GDP between countries, differences in GDP per capita between countries, and foreign direct investment (FDI). The government needs to maintain IIT with Malaysia, which has strong integration and has the potential to increase FDI. Meanwhile, increasing intra-industry trade can be done by considering increased exports and transfer of technology and knowledge. National Research and Innovation Agency 2023-12-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/793 10.55981/bilp.2023.793 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 17 No. 2 (2023): BILP; 157-176 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v17i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/793/2079 Copyright (c) 2023 Andi Tenri Darhyati, Tanti Novianti https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/978 2023-12-31T13:56:16Z bilp:ART

Measuring Indonesian Cocoa Agroindustry Competitiveness from a Global Value Chain Perspective: Pengukuran Daya Saing Agroindustri Kakao Indonesia dari Perspektif Rantai Nilai Global Dianawati Nastiti S.I. Ismayana, Andes Djatna, Taufik Yuliasih, Indah Competitiveness Global Value Chain Indonesian Cocoa Product Revealed Comparative Advantage Trade Specialization Index Indonesian cocoa products in international trade face challenges in quality, food safety, and environmental requirements. Developing the cocoa agro-industry is essential to meet those global demands. The research aims to analyze the competitiveness of business in Indonesian cocoa products using the Global Value Chain (GVC), Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), and Trade Specialization Index (TSI) methodology. Research data uses the time series of Indonesian cocoa product export trade from 2001-2020. From a GVC perspective, the diversity of cocoa product exporters and the same competition drive a significant increase in competitiveness. Market access opportunities and regulatory support will encourage domestic industrial growth by utilizing efficient supply chains and making Indonesia part of the global production network. Cocoa products require economic value, from dry beans to ready-to-consume products. They are improving farmer’s bargaining position towards agro-industry institutions and better stakeholder coordination. The results of RCA show the comparative advantage of Indonesia cocoa exporters for HS code products 1801, 1802, 1803, 1804, and 1805 in the international market. The stages of identification of Indonesian cocoa products are the maturity stage for cocoa beans, the commercial maturity stage for cocoa paste and butter products, and the growth stage for cocoa product powder. National Research and Innovation Agency 2023-12-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/978 10.55981/bilp.2023.978 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 17 No. 2 (2023): BILP; 133-156 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v17i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/978/2134 Copyright (c) 2023 Dianawati Dianawati, Nastiti S.I., Andes Ismayana, Taufik Djatna, Indah Yuliasih https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/1057 2024-08-24T15:22:22Z bilp:ART

Assessing the Impact of the AKFTA on Indonesia-South Korea Trade Flows: A Panel Data Analysis Fitrianto, Achmad Room Ramadhani, Rina AKFTA Trade Agreements Trade Creation Trade Diversion This study examines the impact of the ASEAN-Korea Free Trade Area (AKFTA) on trade flows between Indonesia and South Korea. This cooperation will impact trade diversion or even trade creation between Indonesia and countries in ASEAN-Korea. This study uses panel data regression analysis and secondary data sources on trade and other macroeconomics from various trusted institutions, such as United Nations, World Bank, etc., as well as the results of scientific research. The research results show that the implementation of AKFTA causes trade diversion on the export side and trade creation on the import side. The findings of this study also highlight that the implementation of AKFTA has an impact on the tendency to increase the value of Indonesian imports from both AKFTA members and non-members. However, the aggregate effect of AKFTA on trade creation is still more significant than trade diversion. Therefore, to overcome the trade diversion resulting from AKFTA, the government can make various efforts by negotiating with trading partner countries to obtain tariff reductions and open market access to new products. National Research and Innovation Agency 2024-07-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/1057 10.55981/bilp.2024.1057 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 18 No. 1 (2024): BILP; 93-116 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v18i1 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/1057/4181 Copyright (c) 2024 Achmad Room Fitrianto, Rina Ramadhani https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/2584 2024-12-31T02:34:42Z bilp:ART

Persepsi Konsumen terhadap Merek Minyak Goreng Sawit Kemasan di Indonesia Putra, Romeyn Perdana Purbawa, Yudha Bakti, I Gede Mahatma Yuda Astrini, Nidya J. Purba, Helena Juliani Sumaedi, Sik Fahmi, Diah Arina Palm Cooking Oil Consumer Behaviour Consumer Perception Brand Palm cooking oil (MGS) is an essential and vital staple affecting consumers' daily spending. The COVID-19 pandemic triggered a shortage of cooking oil in the Indonesian market around December 2021 until mid-2022. It can affect consumers' perceptions when purchasing MGS brands. This study aims to analyze consumer preferences for MGS brands in Indonesia. Specifically, it examines brand awareness, top-of-mind brands, most purchased brands, brand selection considerations, brand loyalty, and brand switching to other MGS brands. This study focuses solely on packaged MGS brands. The study used a survey method through an online questionnaire. Of the 707 respondents who completed the questionnaire, only 537 met the sample criteria for further analysis. The results showed that consumers perceive Bimoli as the leading MGS brand regarding brand awareness, top of mind, and top purchase. Other MGS brands frequently appearing in the top group include Sania, Sunco, Filma, and Tropical. The study also found that there are two primary considerations for consumers when choosing an MGS brand: (1) product factors (quality, health, clarity) and (2) sacrifice factors (price and accessibility). Furthermore, the study revealed that most MGS consumers are less loyal to a specific brand and are willing to switch to other brands. National Research and Innovation Agency 2024-12-13 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/2584 10.55981/bilp.2024.2584 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 18 No. 2 (2024): BILP; 159-180 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v18i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/2584/6978 Copyright (c) 2024 Romeyn Perdana Putra, Yudha Purbawa, I Gede Mahatma Yuda Bakti, Nidya J. Astrini, Helena Juliani Purba, Sik Suamedi, Diah Arina Fahmi https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/3082 2024-08-24T15:22:22Z bilp:ART

Pengaruh Produksi Kelapa Sawit, Harga Minyak Kelapa Sawit Dunia, dan Emisi Karbon terhadap Volume Ekspor Minyak Kelapa Sawit Indonesia Erwinsyah Export carbon emissions price oil palm production 2SLS Indonesia is the largest producer and exporter of palm oil in the world. Unfortunately, Indonesian palm oil exports are influenced by various factors, including environmental issues, which ultimately disrupt export benefits. This research aims to analyze the influence of production, world prices, and carbon emissions on the volume of Indonesian palm oil exports. The analytical method used is Two Stage Least Square (2SLS) with simultaneous supply and demand equations for Indonesian palm oil export volumes from 1991-2021. The research results show that the increase in palm oil plantation areas in Indonesia has positively contributed to the increase in world palm oil prices as demand also increases. Furthermore, the increase in world palm oil prices has encouraged Indonesia's exports to world markets. The increase in Indonesian palm oil production has encouraged an increased volume of exports to the world market. However, market appreciation for environmentally friendly palm oil has not contributed positively to the price and increase in palm oil export volume. National Research and Innovation Agency 2024-07-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/3082 10.55981/bilp.2024.3082 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 18 No. 1 (2024): BILP; 75-92 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v18i1 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/3082/4186 Copyright (c) 2024 Erwinsyah https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/3515 2024-08-24T15:22:22Z bilp:ART

Analysis of Determinants: Indonesian Case Sari, Vita Kartika exchange rate exports foreign direct investment inflation GDP per capita Exports directly impact national income, which will also have implications for increasing levels of productivity, innovation, and technology transfer. The urgency of exports from an open economic perspective is to increase the capacity for economic growth. Unfortunately, various factors often hinder export performance, disrupting the potential benefits. The main objective of this study is to analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables, namely the exchange rate, foreign direct investment (FDI), Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, and inflation on Indonesian exports in the period 1970-2022. This research uses time series data with the Autoregressive Distributed Lag-Error Correction Model (ARDL-ECM) method. The findings of the analysis show that the exchange rate, FDI, GDP per capita, and inflation have a positive and significant effect on exports in the long term. Therefore, if the Indonesian government wants to maintain its trade balance, it is recommended to keep a floating and controlled exchange rate policy and coordinate pro-export-oriented investment policies. National Research and Innovation Agency 2024-07-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/3515 10.55981/bilp.2024.3515 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 18 No. 1 (2024): BILP; 1-22 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v18i1 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/3515/4185 Copyright (c) 2024 vita kartika sari https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/3621 2024-12-31T02:34:42Z bilp:ART

Bentuk Profil Subsektor Teh Indonesia dan Lanskap Persaingan Produksi dan Perdagangan Teh Dunia pada Masa Datang Ibnu, Muhammad Profile Shape Competitive Landscape Production and Trade Tea Subsector Identifying the Indonesian tea commodity subsector profile can help us better understand various challenges and problems related to production and trade. The research aims to (a) identify the profile of the Indonesian tea commodity subsector, (b) analyze the forces that influence the tea subsector profile, and (c) predict the competitive landscape of tea production and trade in the future. The research used qualitative (literature review) and quantitative methods through time series analysis with FAOSTAT data from 1961 to 2022. The results showed that the tea commodity subsector profile combines a pyramid and a diamond. The forces that influence the shape of the tea subsector are production and market characteristics, enabling environment, and sources of livelihood. These forces do not work separately but interact with each other. The world tea production surplus is predicted to increase, implying that prices will decrease. In addition, Indonesian tea in the world market faces the risk of increasingly tight competition with lower price levels. To improve the sustainability of Indonesian production and trade, a combination of various policy instruments or programs, such as public and private investment policies in education, infrastructure development, and work facilities, and to increase the participation of all stakeholders, is needed. National Research and Innovation Agency 2024-12-13 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/3621 10.55981/bilp.2024.3621 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 18 No. 2 (2024): BILP; 181-206 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v18i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/3621/6979 Copyright (c) 2024 Muhammad Ibnu https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/3632 2024-08-24T15:22:22Z bilp:ART

Kinerja Ekspor Produk Teh Indonesia di Pasar Internasional: Asesmen Perjanjian Perdagangan Indonesia Putro, Fikri Aldi Dwi Widyastutik Hidayat, Nia Kurniawati export expansion PPML tea export trade barriers trade agreements utilization The decline in Indonesian tea products export performance does not correspond to the Government initiatives to reduce barriers through trade agreements. This research aims to analyse the export performance and the role of trade agreements towards Indonesian tea products export. This study employs panel data regression with a 15-year time series (2007-2021) and a cross-section of 40 destination countries. The data are analysed using a modified export approach gravity model with Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimation. The research results show that the Indonesian tea products export destinations are dominated by Asia (19 countries) and Europe (12 countries). The regression results suggest that the implementation of trade agreements with Asian and European region countries has not effectively increased Indonesian tea products export. On the other hand, the implementation of trade agreements with other region countries, i.e., Australia and New Zealand, has successfully promoted export towards Indonesian tea products. Those can be attributed to trade agreements underutilization and trade barriers imposed by the trade agreement members. Hence, inward and outward-looking strategies are necessary to promote the export creation effect of implemented trade agreements towards Indonesian tea product exports. National Research and Innovation Agency 2024-07-31 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/3632 10.55981/bilp.2024.3632 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 18 No. 1 (2024): BILP; 47-74 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v18i1 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/3632/4184 Copyright (c) 2024 Fikri Aldi Dwi Putro, Widyastutik, Nia Kurniawati Hidayat https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/4958 2026-03-06T03:53:12Z bilp:ART

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/5542 2024-12-31T02:34:42Z bilp:ART

Investigasi Ekspor Pakaian Jadi Indonesia: Daya Saing, Determinan, dan Barier Fadhilah, Muhammad Arief Widyastutik Hermawan, Iwan Export Competitiveness Tariff Equivalence Apparel Panel Data Regression Indonesia's apparel exports are essential for national economic growth. However, compared to the two main exporting countries, China and Vietnam, Indonesia's apparel exports volume is still considered underwhelming. It is because of a high dependence on imported raw materials and trade barriers imposed by partner countries. This research aims to analyze the performance, determinants, and to estimate nontariff measures (NTMs) to Indonesian apparel exports in 11 major export destinations with an analysis period of 2003-2022. The methods used in this research include descriptive analysis, panel data regression with a gravity model, and estimation of equivalent tariffs. The results of the panel data regression show that the importing country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, economic distance, tariffs, exporting country's real exchange rate, and export prices significantly affect the volume of apparel exports from the exporting country. Meanwhile, the analysis of dummy variables indicates differences before and after the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) and the Covid-19 pandemic. This study also found that export destination countries impose non-tariff barriers on the volume of Indonesian apparel, as indicated by high equivalent tariff values in some countries. National Research and Innovation Agency 2024-12-13 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/5542 10.55981/bilp.2024.5542 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 18 No. 2 (2024): BILP; 207-234 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v18i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/5542/6980 Copyright (c) 2024 Muhammad Arief Fadhilah, Widyastutik, Iwan Hermawan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/5755 2024-08-24T15:21:31Z bilp:fis

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/7084 2024-12-31T02:34:42Z bilp:ART

SWOT Analysis of Indonesia's Trade in Services in Facing The ASEAN Trade in Services Agreement (ATISA) Sambuaga, Jerry Ningsih, Endah Ayu ASEAN Trade in Services Agreement Services Liberalization SWOT Analysis The liberalization of services within the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has been a key focus since the ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services (AFAS) was signed in 1995. This effort reached a new milestone by introducing the ASEAN Trade in Services Agreement (ATiSA) in 2019, which seeks to enhance further the integration and liberalization of the services sector across ASEAN member states (AMS). ATiSA aims to create a stable and predictable environment for service trade by reducing discriminatory regulatory barriers and increasing transparency. This study explores the best strategy for Indonesia to leverage the benefits of ATiSA by conducting a Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats (SWOT) analysis. The distributed questionnaires are filled out by 43 individual respondents from 19 government institutions representing nine ministry or national agencies, seven private sectors, and two academic institutions. The SWOT results show that Indonesia can take the Strengths-Opportunity strategy to benefit from ATiSA implementation. To maximize the strength, moderate support is still needed to regulate and develop certified workers. Meanwhile, opportunities to win the ASEAN market include considerable market potential, investment opportunities, enhanced international trade, and positive consumer perception of Indonesian services driven by quality, technology, and digital marketing strategies. National Research and Innovation Agency 2024-12-13 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/7084 10.55981/bilp.2024.7084 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 18 No. 2 (2024): BILP; 117-140 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v18i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/7084/6976 Copyright (c) 2024 Jerry Sambuaga, Endah Ayu Ningsih https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/7205 2024-12-31T02:34:42Z bilp:ART

Global Dominance in Crude Palm Oil (CPO): Strategic Factors Shaping Indonesia's Competitive Edge-A Panel Data Approach Pratama, Kenny Pradipta Montoya Putra Sukmawati, Cindy Putri Abidin, Ali Zainal Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Global Competitiveness Macroeconomic Indicators Panel Data Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) As a dominant player in the global Crude Palm Oil (CPO) industry, Indonesia requires strategies to sustain its competitive advantage. This research aims to analyze the strategic factors influencing the competitiveness of Indonesia's CPO in the international market, using the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) method and panel data regression analysis through the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach. The findings indicate that Indonesia's comparative advantage in CPO is significantly influenced by global economic dynamics, importers' policies, increasingly stringent environmental regulations, and intensifying global competition. Additionally, the regression results reveal that economic growth, exchange rates, the population of importing countries, and global CPO prices positively impact the competitiveness of Indonesia's CPO in the international markets. In contrast, inflation in importing countries has a negative effect. Therefore, the government must formulate adaptive policies to address global challenges, capitalize on international opportunities through economic diplomacy, maintain macroeconomic stability, improve CPO production quality, and strengthen competitiveness through technological innovation and supply chain efficiency. These steps are crucial to maintaining Indonesia's dominance in the global CPO industry while promoting sustainable economic growth. National Research and Innovation Agency 2024-12-13 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/7205 10.55981/bilp.2024.7205 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan; Vol. 18 No. 2 (2024): BILP; 141-158 2528-2751 1979-9187 10.55981/bilp.v18i2 eng https://ejournal.brin.go.id/bilp/article/view/7205/6977 Copyright (c) 2024 Kenny Pradipta Montoya Putra Pratama, Cindy Putri Sukmawati, Ali Zainal Abidin https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/9046 2026-03-06T03:53:12Z bilp:ART

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/9197 2026-03-06T03:53:12Z bilp:ART

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/9214 2026-03-06T03:53:12Z bilp:ART

oai:ejournal.brin.go.id:article/11411 2026-03-06T03:53:12Z bilp:ART