Competitive Dynamics and Factors Affecting Indonesian Black Tea Exports in the ASEAN Market
Keywords:
Black tea, Competitiveness, GravityAbstract
Indonesian black tea has a unique taste and quality, but its export dynamics in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) market are influenced by several factors, such as competition from other producing countries, quality comparisons, price fluctuations, and logistical challenges. This study examines the competitiveness of Indonesian black tea exports to ASEAN using panel data from 2010 to 2023. Data from Trademap with HS code 092030 for black tea and macroeconomic data from the World Bank were analyzed using Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) and Dynamic Revealed Comparative Advantage (DRCA). Additionally, a gravity model was used to assess the impact of economic and geographical variables on export volume. The results show fluctuating competitiveness, with a declining trend in recent years. DRCA analysis reveals a shift toward lower competitiveness compared to other tea-exporting countries. The gravity model shows that economic distance, inflation in other countries do not have a significant effect on Indonesia's export volume, while the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of other countries, population, and exchange rate of the destination country, and economic growth have a significant effect on export volume. The study suggests policy implications for expanding market share, improving product quality at the farm level, and strengthening international certifications to enhance competitiveness.
Downloads
References
Agarwal, M., Azim, R., & Kumar, S. (2022). BRICS: The 2008 financial crisis and economic performance. BRICS Journal of Economics, 3(2), 21–49. https://doi.org/10.3897/brics-econ.3.e86488
Ahmed, Khan, & Singh. (2018). Exchange rate volatility and export performance: Evidence from emerging economies. International. Journal of Economic Sciences and Applied Research, 11(2), 27-44.
Anshari, Khilla, & Permata. (2017). Analisis pengaruh inflasi dan kurs terhadap ekspor di negara asean 5 periode tahun 2012-2016. Info Artha, 1(2), 121-128. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.31092/jia.v1i2.130
Arbella, S.D., & Widodo, P. (2023). Indonesia’s tea competitiveness with Russia. International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147- 4478), 12(3), 548–556. https://doi.org/10.20525/ijrbs.v12i3.2574
Arifin, & Rahman. (2020). The role of GDP and exchange rate on export performance in Indonesia: A time series analysis. Journal of Economics, Business, and Management, 8(3), 75-89.
Aslam, Khan, & Javed. (2018). The impact of GDP per capita on export performance: Evidence from emerging markets. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 27(5), 618-633.
Baier, Bergstrand, & Clougherty. (2019). GDP per capita, trade openness, and export performance in developing countries. Journal of Economic Integration, 34(4), 642-664.
Bojnec, & Ferto. (2021). The role of GDP per capita in export competitiveness in Central and Eastern European countries. Economics & Business, 34(2), 55-72.
Cakra, G.A., & Munandar, J.M. (2020). Analisis Daya Saing Komoditas Teh Hitam Curah Indonesia di Pasar Global (Studi Kasus di Negara Russia). Jurnal Manajemen dan Organisasi, 11(1), 57–70. https://doi.org/10.29244/jmo.v11i1.28556
Canh, Tran, & Vu. (2021). The impact of population growth on trade: Evidence from developing countries. Journal of Development Studies, 58(8), 1257-1275.
Chica, B.N.A., Yépez, S.I.Z., Morales, M.A.Z., Castro, A.B.M., & Yamuca, J.L.B. (2024). Factores determinantes de la exportación de camarón ecuatoriano. LATAM Revista Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales y Humanidades, 5(5), 894–912.
Choi, & Kim. (2020). Does population size influence export performance? Evidence from East Asian countries. Journal of Economic Policy, 35(4), 289-304.
Edwards, & Schoer. (2002). Measures of competitiveness: A dynamic approach to South Africa’s trade performance in the 1990s. The South African Journal of Economics, 70(6), 1008–1046.
Elpawati, E., & Utama, B. (2021). Daya Saing Teh Hitam Ekspor Indonesia Di Perdagangan Internasional. Sharia Agribusiness Journal, 1(2), 135–152. https://doi.org/10.15408/saj.v1i2.22283
Hassan, Ismael, & Haji. (2024). Measuring and analyzing the impact of some macroeco-nomic variables on exports in emerging countries for 2000-2020: a panel data analysis. Z. Zanco Journal of Humanity Sciences, 28(2), 1–12. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.21271/zjhs.28.2.16
Hussain, B., Ashfaq, M., Abbas, M., Mahmood, K., & Ather Mahmood, M. (2010). Market Integration of Gram in Pakistan. Pakistan J. Agric. Res, 23(2), 78–82.
Ibrahima, Diallo, & Sow. (2020). The relationship between GDP, exports and imports: Evidence from the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). Economic Research, 33(1), 45-60.
Jiang, S. (2023). The Determinants of Chile’s Aquatic Products Export: A Gravity Approach. ICEMME, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.4108/eai.18-11-2022.2326839
Karosekali, A. (2021). Dampak Sanitary and Phytosanitary (Sps) Dan Technical Barrier To Trade (Tbt) Terhadap Ekspor Komoditas Teh Di Indonesia. Agriprimatech, 5(1), 45–56. https://doi.org/10.34012/agriprimatech.v5i1.2077
Kusnaedi, P.M., & Ernah. (2024). Mimbar Agribisnis: Jurnal Pemikiran Masyarakat Ilmiah Berwawasan Agribisnis Analisis Daya Saing Komoditas Teh Hitam Indonesia di Pasar Global Competitiveness Analysis of Indonesian Black Tea Commodity in Global Market. Mimbar Agribisnis: Jurnal Pemikiran Masyarakat Ilmiah Berwawasan Agribisnis, 10(1), 1580–1588.
Liang, Z. (2023). Relationship between Tea Export and Major Macroeconomics Variables in China. Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, 22(1), 283–290. https://doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/22/20230323
Luhur, Mulatsih, & Puspitawati. (2019). Competitiveness analysis of indonesian fishery products in asean and canadian markets. Signifikan Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 8(1), 105-120. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v8i1.7301
Ma, Z., & Chen. (2019). The impact of exchange rate on export performance: Evidence from Asian economies. Journal of Economic Integration, 34(3), 356-374.
Maulana, F.R., Sukiyono, K., Nusril, & Sriyoto. (2023). Analysis of Indonesian Palm Oil Competitiveness in the Main Export Destination Countries. Indonesian Journal of Agricultural Research, 6(2), 68–78. https://doi.org/10.32734/injar.v6i2.11420
Nursodik, H., Imam Santoso, S., & Nurfadillah, S. (2022). Competitiveness of Indonesian Tea Export in Southeast Asia Markets. SOCA: Jurnal Sosial, Ekonomi
Nursodik, Santoso, & Nurfadillah. (2022). Competitiveness of indonesian tea export in southeast asia markets. Soca Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian, 16(1), 12.
Radhika, Hoti, & Raju. (2024). Tea trade scenario in the pre and post liberalization period in india. Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 13(3), 150.
Rao, Kumar, & Singh. (2021). Exchange rate fluctuations and export performance: Evidence from selected developing countries. Economic Modelling, 94, 318-328.
Ristanović, V., Primorac, D., & Kozina, G. (2020). Applying gravity model to analyse trade direction. Tehnicki Vjesnik, 27(5), 1670–1677. https://doi.org/10.17559/TV-20200217101315
Rita, P., Oliveira, T., & Farisa, A. (2019). The impact of e-service quality and customer satisfaction on customer behavior in online shopping. Heliyon, 5(10), e02690. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e02690
Rodrik, Wacziarg, & Ocampo. (2020). Structural change, productivity, and export growth: The role of GDP per capita. Journal of Development Economics, 145, 102-117.
Sentsho, Moffat, & Shapshak. (2018). The Relationship between Economic Growth, Export and Import in Botswana. Journal of Economics and Business Research, 24(1), 45-62.
Setiawan, Prabowo, & Yuliana. (2022). Pengaruh produk domestik bruto dan nilai tukar terhadap kinerja ekspor di Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Indonesia, 20(2), 123-137.
Shahriar, S., Qian, L., Lea, S., & Abdullahi, N. M. (2019). Review of Innovation and Competitiveness a Journal of Economic and Social Research Volume. Review of International Competitiveness, 5(1). https://doi.org/10.32728/ric
Sudari, Harun, & Ahmad. (2021). The impact of GDP on exports in Malaysia: An empirical analysis. International Journal of Business, Economics and Law, 24(2), 112-128.
Sumantri, & Latifah. (2020). The influence of interest rate, money circulation, inflation, and cpi against export and import in indonesia 2012-2018. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 17(2), 108.
Sun, Zhang, & Li. (2022). The impact of income per capita on export specialization and competitiveness: Evidence from Asian economies. Journal of International Economics, 136, 103-120.
Sundalian, M.-, & Nugrahani, I.-. (2018). Determinasi Kadar Kafein Produk Teh Hitam Indonesia Dengan Menggunakan Spektrofotometer Fourier Transform Infrared. Jurnal Sains Dan Teknologi Farmasi Indonesia, 7(1), 41–49. https://doi.org/10.58327/jstfi.v7i1.73
Suparmono, S., Suandana, E., & Ilmas, F. (2022). Determining Competitiveness of Indonesian Export Commodities using Revealed Comparative Analysis. Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan, 23(1), 66–80.
Tien, Nguyen, & Hoang. (2022). Population dynamics and export performance: An empirical study of ASEAN countries. Asian Economic Journal, 36(1), 92-110.
Wardhani, A. A. (2023). Analisis Daya Saing Ekpors Teh Indonesia Di Pasar ASEAN Tahun 2017 - 2021 Dengan Pendekatan RCA, RSCA DAN ISP. Jurnal Ekuilnomi, 5(2), 350–360. https://doi.org/10.36985/ekuilnomi.v5i2.799
Yafi, M. A., & Adyanti, A. S. (2024). Kinerja Daya Saing Teh Hijau Indonesia di Pasar Internasional. SEPA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Dan Agribisnis, 21(2), 289–301.
Zainal, S. M., Tarumun, S., & Tety, E. (2021). Analysis of Competitiveness and Factors that Affect Indonesian Pineapple Exports. Journal of Agribusiness and Community Empowerment (JACE), 4(2), 134–145.
Zhao, Wang, & Liu. (2019). Population size and trade performance: A comparative analysis of large and small economies. International Trade Journal, 33(4), 567-584.
Zuhdi, F., Rambe, K. R., & Rahmadona, L. (2022). Analysis of Competitiveness and Forecasting of Indonesian Tea Exports to Main Destination Countries. Media Ekonomi Dan Manajemen, 37(2), 240. https://doi.org/10.24856/mem.v37i2.2888
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Putra Irwandi, Aulia Adetya, Bunga Wirda, Cep Abdul Baasith Wahpiyudin

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.


Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan